Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 981.799446 1105.734583 1240.895982 1399.503582 1580.853551 1782.112966 2022.908533
2026-01-11 790.586551 958.622022 1157.395585 1410.996086 1727.537950 2111.666835 2616.239604
2026-01-18 681.250166 868.356383 1102.285822 1418.490015 1838.174683 2380.843488 3143.377632
2026-01-25 614.831256 816.090117 1079.325267 1452.485039 1973.739241 2684.708807 3742.780054
2026-02-01 559.299746 768.335420 1052.456412 1472.043717 2084.715732 2960.354788 4331.403715
2026-02-08 511.587125 724.275077 1023.301979 1481.211542 2176.845911 3213.789076 4914.163323
2026-02-15 473.752196 689.251499 1001.684387 1496.265934 2275.525801 3483.397580 5551.621551
2026-02-22 445.000611 664.005084 990.728438 1524.257120 2394.288003 3793.792091 6291.441757
2026-03-01 405.325323 618.139194 943.574768 1489.561681 2407.099406 3931.995595 6755.262816
2026-03-08 368.009882 572.433735 892.141141 1441.923683 2391.710909 4018.501854 7135.071233
2026-03-15 335.786977 532.000411 845.361476 1396.836112 2374.635647 4097.856661 7508.329497
2026-03-22 323.904891 523.480388 849.531961 1437.980919 2511.461159 4463.646707 8469.124505
2026-03-29 307.858795 507.210394 840.149500 1455.967430 2611.140660 4777.888309 9385.527550
2026-04-05 291.904086 489.848139 827.487996 1466.941811 2699.253287 5081.309021 10327.487299
2026-04-12 276.989047 472.985541 814.071179 1474.785144 2781.420897 5381.462485 11305.767720
2026-04-19 267.516022 464.911812 815.469817 1510.277914 2921.103705 5813.305538 12639.004720
2026-04-26 256.651488 453.407943 809.520668 1530.700271 3032.021452 6197.899826 13924.483655
2026-05-03 245.217212 439.940482 798.727069 1540.273361 3120.978118 6545.372015 15176.824359
2026-05-10 235.444201 428.821093 791.416328 1555.993830 3224.340539 6936.611706 16599.879893
2026-05-17 227.967049 421.490829 790.763281 1585.225417 3360.100825 7417.871184 18332.801129
2026-05-24 213.682927 399.946906 760.474797 1548.992859 3345.032957 7544.087724 19151.084633
2026-05-31 199.078680 376.808152 725.344185 1499.250724 3293.768880 7577.060797 19720.949102
2026-06-07 185.858430 355.596002 692.680064 1452.178644 3244.042833 7608.070006 20291.460673